The Pronk Pops Show 639, March 9, 2016, Story 1: Part 2: Election Results: Trump Wins 3 States and Cruz Wins 1 State — Trump Troopers (TT) Take The Trump Pledge — Raise Your Right Hand — I Swear I Will Vote for Trump — Ejecting The Protesters — Silent Majority Stands With Trump — Trump Is Not A Nazis (National Socialist) — He Is A Golfer — Springtime For Trump — March 9, 2016 Delegate Count: Trump 463, Cruz 362, Rubio 155, Kasich 54 — Triumph of The Trump — Videos

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The Pronk Pops Show Podcasts

Pronk Pops Show 639: March 9, 2016

Pronk Pops Show 638: March 8, 2016

Pronk Pops Show 637: March 7, 2016

Pronk Pops Show 636: March 4, 2016

Pronk Pops Show 635: March 3, 2016

Pronk Pops Show 634: March 2, 2016

Pronk Pops Show 633: March 1, 2016

Pronk Pops Show 632: February 29, 2016

Pronk Pops Show 631: February 25, 2016

Pronk Pops Show 630: February 24, 2016

Pronk Pops Show 629: February 22, 2016

Pronk Pops Show 628: February 19, 2016

Pronk Pops Show 627: February 18, 2016

Pronk Pops Show 626: February 17, 2016

Pronk Pops Show 625: February 16, 2016

Pronk Pops Show 624: February 15, 2016

Pronk Pops Show 623: February 12, 2016

Pronk Pops Show 622: February 11, 2016

Pronk Pops Show 621: February 10, 2016

Pronk Pops Show 620: February 9, 2016

Pronk Pops Show 619: February 8, 2016

Pronk Pops Show 618: February 5, 2016

Pronk Pops Show 617: February 4, 2016

Pronk Pops Show 616: February 3, 2016

Pronk Pops Show 615: February 1, 2016

Pronk Pops Show 614: January 29, 2016

Pronk Pops Show 613: January 28, 2016

Pronk Pops Show 612: January 27, 2016

Pronk Pops Show 611: January 26, 2016

Pronk Pops Show 610: January 25, 2016

Pronk Pops Show 609: January 22, 2016

Pronk Pops Show 608: January 21, 2016

Pronk Pops Show 607: January 20, 2016

Pronk Pops Show 606: January 19, 2016

Pronk Pops Show 605: January 15, 2015

Pronk Pops Show 604: January 14, 2016

Pronk Pops Show 603: January 13, 2016

Pronk Pops Show 602: January 12, 2016

Pronk Pops Show 601: January 11, 2015

Pronk Pops Show 600: January 8, 2016

Pronk Pops Show 599: January 6, 2016

Pronk Pops Show 598: January 5, 2016

Pronk Pops Show 597: December 21, 2015

Pronk Pops Show 596: December 18, 2015

Pronk Pops Show 595: December 17, 2015

Pronk Pops Show 594: December 16, 2015

Pronk Pops Show 593: December 15, 2015

Pronk Pops Show 592: December 14, 2015 

Pronk Pops Show 591: December 11, 2015 

Pronk Pops Show 590: December 10, 2015 

Pronk Pops Show 589: December 9, 2015 

Pronk Pops Show 588: December 7, 2015 

Pronk Pops Show 587: December 4, 2015 

Pronk Pops Show 586: December 3, 2015 

Pronk Pops Show 585: December 2, 2015 

Pronk Pops Show 584: December 1, 2015 

Story 1: Part 2: Election Results: Trump Wins 3 States and Cruz Wins 1 State —  Trump Troopers (TT) Take The Trump Pledge — Raise Your Right Hand — I Swear I Will Vote for Trump — Ejecting The Protesters — Silent Majority Stands With Trump — Trump Is Not A Nazis (National Socialist) — He Is A Golfer — Springtime For Trump — March 9, 2016 Delegate Count: Trump 463, Cruz 362, Rubio 155, Kasich 54 — Triumph of The Trump — Videos

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Election Results

The Green Papers

2016 Presidential Primaries, Caucuses, and Conventions

Copyright www.flags.net/UNST.htm Republican Convention
Presidential Nominating Process
Debate –  Fox – Cleveland, Ohio: Thursday 6 August 2015
Debate – CNN – Ronald Reagan Presidential Library, Simi Valley, California: Wednesday 16 September 2015
Debate – CNBC – Boulder, Colorado: Wednesday 28 October 2015
Debate – Fox Business News – Milwaukee, Wisconsin: Tuesday 10 November 2015
Debate – CNN – Las Vegas, Nevada: Tuesday 15 December 2015
Debate – Fox Business Channel, Charleston, South Carolina: Thursday 14 January 2016
Debate – Fox – Iowa: Thursday 28 January 2016
Debate – CBS – South Carolina: February 2016 (presumably)
Debate – NBC/Telemundo – Texas: Friday 26 February 2016
Debate – CNN – TBD: March 2016 (presumably)
Debate – Salt Lake City, Utah (announced 20 February 2016): Monday 21 March 2016
41st Republican National Convention: Monday 18 July – Thursday 21 July 2016
Republicans
Candidate Popular
Vote
Delegate Votes
Soft
Pledged
Soft
Unpledged
Soft
Total
Hard Total
Trump, Donald John, Sr. 4,344,559  34.86% 463  19.54%   463  18.73% 463  18.73%
Cruz, Rafael Edward “Ted” 3,579,363  28.72% 362  15.28%   362  14.64% 362  14.64%
Rubio, Marco A. 2,427,029  19.47% 155   6.54%   155   6.27% 155   6.27%
Kasich, John Richard 1,089,221   8.74% 54   2.28%   54   2.18% 54   2.18%
Carson, Benjamin Solomon “Ben”, Sr. 610,700   4.90% 8   0.34%   8   0.32% 8   0.32%
Bush, John Ellis “Jeb” 182,708   1.47% 4   0.17%   4   0.16% 4   0.16%
Uncommitted 59,854   0.48% 7   0.30%   7   0.28% 7   0.28%
Paul, Randal H. “Rand” 40,593   0.33% 1   0.04%   1   0.04% 1   0.04%
Christie, Christopher James “Chris” 40,377   0.32%        
Huckabee, Michael Dale “Mike” 30,463   0.24% 1   0.04%   1   0.04% 1   0.04%
Fiorina, Carleton Sneed “Carly” 26,779   0.21% 1   0.04%   1   0.04% 1   0.04%
Santorum, Richard John “Rick” 10,140   0.08%        
Gray, Elizabeth 5,455   0.04%        
Graham, Lindsey Olin 4,503   0.04%        
No Preference 3,233   0.03%        
Gilmore, James Stuart “Jim”, III 2,078   0.02%        
(others) 1,979   0.02%        
Pataki, George E. 1,712   0.01%        
Others 1,583   0.01%        
Cook, Timothy “Tim” 272   0.00%        
Jindal, Piyush “Bobby” 221   0.00%        
Martin, Andy 202   0.00%        
Witz, Richard P.H. 109   0.00%        
Messina, Peter 77   0.00%        
Cullison, Brooks Andrews 56   0.00%        
Lynch, Frank 47   0.00%        
Robinson, Joe 44   0.00%        
Comley, Stephen Bradley, Sr. 32   0.00%        
Prag, Chomi 16   0.00%        
Dyas, Jacob Daniel “Daniel”, Sr. 15   0.00%        
McCarthy, Stephen John 12   0.00%        
Iwachiw, Walter N. 9   0.00%        
Huey, Kevin Glenn 8   0.00%        
Drozd, Matt 6   0.00%        
Mann, Robert Lawrence 5   0.00%        
Hall, David Eames          
Lynch, James P. “Jim”, Sr.          
(available)   1,313  55.42% 103 100.00% 1,416  57.28% 1,416  57.28%
Total 12,463,460 100.00% 2,369 100.00% 103 100.00% 2,472 100.00% 2,472 100.00%
Democratic Convention
Presidential Nominating Process
Debate – CNN – Nevada: Tuesday 13 October 2015
Debate –  CBS/KCCI/Des Moines Register – Des Moines, Iowa: Saturday 14 November 2015
Debate – ABC/WMUR – Manchester, New Hampshire: Saturday 19 December 2015
Debate – NBC/Congressional Black Caucus Institute – Charleston, South Carolina: Sunday 17 January 2016
Debate – Univision/Washington Post – Miami, Floria: February – March 2016 (presumably)
Debate – PBS – Wisconsin: Monday 1 February – Thursday 31 March 2016 (presumably)
Automatic selection of unpledged delegates: Tuesday 1 March 2016 (presumably)
47th Democratic National Convention: Monday 25 July – Thursday 28 July 2016
Democrats
Candidate Popular
Vote
Delegate Votes
Soft
Pledged
Soft
Unpledged
(source)
Soft
Total
Hard Total
Clinton, Hillary Diane Rodham 5,022,949  58.78% 769  18.98% 460  64.43% 1,229  25.79% 707  14.84%
Sanders, Bernard “Bernie” 3,376,904  39.52% 552  13.63% 23   3.22% 575  12.07% 485  10.18%
O’Malley, Martin Joseph 38,074   0.45%   1   0.14% 1   0.02%  
Uncommitted 33,277   0.39%       714  14.98%
De La Fuente Guerra, Roque “Rocky” 17,786   0.21%        
Judd, Keith Russell 8,291   0.10%        
No Preference 8,149   0.10%        
Wolfe, John 7,100   0.08%        
Steinberg, Michael Alan 6,946   0.08%        
Wilson, Willie L. 6,860   0.08%        
Locke, Star 5,220   0.06%        
Burke, Steve 4,889   0.06%        
(others) 2,942   0.03%        
Hawes, Calvis L. 2,016   0.02%        
Valentine, James 1,710   0.02%        
Hewes, Henry 825   0.01%        
Supreme, Vermin 265   0.00%        
Thistle, David John 223   0.00%        
Schwass, Graham 142   0.00%        
Adams, Jon 53   0.00%        
Kelso, Lloyd Thomas 46   0.00%        
Others 44   0.00%        
Elbot, Eric 36   0.00%        
French, William D. 29   0.00%        
Greenstein, Mark Stewart 29   0.00%        
Moroz, Raymond Michael 27   0.00%        
O’Donnell, Edward T., Jr. 26   0.00%        
Lovitt, Robert 21   0.00%        
McGaughey, William H., Jr. 19   0.00%        
Sonnino, Edward 17   0.00%        
Hutton, Brock C. 14   0.00%        
Lipscomb, Steven Roy 14   0.00%        
Sloan, Sam 14   0.00%        
Weil, Richard Lyons 8   0.00%        
Cohen, Lawrence “Larry Joe”          
Farrell, Paul T., Jr.          
Stewart, Mark          
Touchett Gess, Michele Ann          
Wilson, Maria T.          
(available)   2,730  67.39% 230  32.21% 2,960  62.12% 2,859  60.00%
Total 8,544,965 100.00% 4,051 100.00% 714 100.00% 4,765 100.00% 4,765 100.00%

Latest Election Polls

Wednesday, March 9
Race/Topic   (Click to Sort) Poll Results Spread
Florida Republican Presidential Primary CNN/ORC Trump 40, Rubio 24, Cruz 19, Kasich 5 Trump +16
Florida Republican Presidential Primary UNF Trump 36, Rubio 24, Cruz 16, Kasich 9 Trump +12
Florida Republican Presidential Primary Quinnipiac Trump 45, Rubio 22, Cruz 18, Kasich 8 Trump +23
Florida Democratic Presidential Primary CNN/ORC Clinton 61, Sanders 34 Clinton +27
Florida Democratic Presidential Primary Wash Post/Univision Clinton 64, Sanders 26 Clinton +38
Florida Democratic Presidential Primary Quinnipiac Clinton 62, Sanders 32 Clinton +30
North Carolina Republican Presidential Primary WRAL-TV/SurveyUSA Trump 41, Cruz 27, Rubio 14, Kasich 11 Trump +14
North Carolina Democratic Presidential Primary WRAL-TV/SurveyUSA Clinton 57, Sanders 34 Clinton +23
Ohio Republican Presidential Primary CNN/ORC Trump 41, Kasich 35, Cruz 15, Rubio 7 Trump +6
Ohio Republican Presidential Primary Quinnipiac Trump 38, Kasich 32, Cruz 16, Rubio 9 Trump +6
Ohio Democratic Presidential Primary CNN/ORC Clinton 63, Sanders 33 Clinton +30
Ohio Democratic Presidential Primary Quinnipiac Clinton 52, Sanders 43 Clinton +9
General Election: Trump vs. Clinton NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl Clinton 51, Trump 38 Clinton +13
General Election: Cruz vs. Clinton NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl Cruz 45, Clinton 47 Clinton +2
General Election: Rubio vs. Clinton NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl Rubio 46, Clinton 46 Tie
General Election: Trump vs. Sanders NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl Sanders 55, Trump 37 Sanders +18
General Election: Trump vs. Clinton ABC News/Wash Post Clinton 50, Trump 41 Clinton +9
Florida: Trump vs. Clinton CNN/ORC Clinton 50, Trump 43 Clinton +7
Florida: Cruz vs. Clinton CNN/ORC Clinton 46, Cruz 47 Cruz +1
Florida: Rubio vs. Clinton CNN/ORC Rubio 48, Clinton 44 Rubio +4
Ohio: Trump vs. Clinton CNN/ORC Clinton 50, Trump 43 Clinton +7
Ohio: Cruz vs. Clinton CNN/ORC Clinton 51, Cruz 42 Clinton +9
Ohio: Rubio vs. Clinton CNN/ORC Rubio 46, Clinton 48 Clinton +2
Tuesday, March 8
Race/Topic   (Click to Sort) Poll Results Spread
Florida Republican Presidential Primary News 13/SurveyUSA Trump 42, Rubio 22, Cruz 17, Kasich 10 Trump +20
Florida Democratic Presidential Primary News 13/SurveyUSA Clinton 61, Sanders 30 Clinton +31
Illinois Republican Presidential Primary Chicago Tribune Trump 32, Rubio 21, Cruz 22, Kasich 18 Trump +10
Illinois Democratic Presidential Primary Chicago Tribune Clinton 67, Sanders 25 Clinton +42
2016 Democratic Presidential Nomination NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl Clinton 53, Sanders 44 Clinton +9
2016 Republican Presidential Nomination ABC News/Wash Post Trump 34, Cruz 25, Rubio 18, Kasich 13, Carson Trump +9
2016 Democratic Presidential Nomination ABC News/Wash Post Clinton 49, Sanders 42 Clinton +7
Monday, March 7
Race/Topic   (Click to Sort) Poll Results Spread
Florida Republican Presidential Primary Monmouth Trump 38, Rubio 30, Cruz 17, Kasich 10 Trump +8
Ohio Republican Presidential Primary PPP (D) Trump 38, Kasich 35, Cruz 15, Rubio 5 Trump +3
Ohio Democratic Presidential Primary PPP (D) Clinton 56, Sanders 35 Clinton +21
Michigan Republican Presidential Primary FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell Trump 41, Kasich 23, Cruz 18, Rubio 8 Trump +18
Michigan Democratic Presidential Primary FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell Clinton 61, Sanders 34 Clinton +27
Michigan Republican Presidential Primary Monmouth Trump 36, Kasich 21, Cruz 23, Rubio 13 Trump +13
Michigan Democratic Presidential Primary Monmouth Clinton 55, Sanders 42 Clinton +13
Michigan Republican Presidential Primary Trafalgar Group (R) Trump 41, Kasich 23, Cruz 23, Rubio 8 Trump +18
New York Republican Presidential Primary Siena Trump 45, Rubio 18, Kasich 18, Cruz 11 Trump +27
New York Democratic Presidential Primary Siena Clinton 55, Sanders 34 Clinton +21
Idaho Republican Presidential Primary Idaho Politics/Dan Jones Trump 30, Cruz 19, Rubio 16, Kasich 5 Trump +11
Idaho Democratic Presidential Caucus Idaho Politics/Dan Jones Sanders 47, Clinton 45 Sanders +2

Election results for March 8 primaries | Michigan, Mississippi

VIDEO – Mark Levin Officially ENDORSES Ted Cruz for President

Fox News projects Ted Cruz wins the Idaho primary

FULL – Donald Trump Press Conference Jupiter Florida after March 8th Primary (3-8-16)

Abe Foxman Former Anti Defamation League Director Accuses Donald Trump of ‘Fascist Gesture’

Donald Trump responds to Hitler comparison

LevinTV: Donald Trump is Not Hitler

Donald Trump Reacts to Hitler Comparison, Bloomberg, Polls

Donald J. Trump The Pledge! | So Called Nazi Salutes Debunked! Watch!

Thousands of Trump Supporters Raising Their Right Hands and Swearing Is Heil-ly Unsettling

Donald Trump urges supporters to pledge to vote for him in Concord, NC

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Kurtz: Why media went thermonuclear against Trump

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Glenn Beck On “Dangerous” Donald Trump This Week Abc FULL Interview

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Insider Exposes NWO Playbook To Stop Trump!

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Bill Whittle & Stefan Molyneux On Donald Trump & The Liberal Mainstream Media

The Untruth About Donald Trump

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Learn to Love TRUMP in 12 Minutes or Less

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Broken Education System

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Law Enforcement Respect

Trade War

1st Day In Office

Donald Trump Touts Trump Brands From Steaks to Wine

Donald Trump Funny Moments – Ultimate Compilation

Donald Trump is Adolf Hitler! | Thomas Sowell – Rebutted Again!

Should You Vote For Donald Trump?

Hitler Reacts to Donald Trump Running for President

Hitler in Colour ( Nazi Rise to Power)

Triumph of the Trump

Triumph des Willens (1935) – Triumph of the Will

MEL BROOKS – THE HITLER RAP (To Be Or Not To Be) 1984 (Audio Enhanced)

Springtime for Hitler from The Producers

Springtime for Hitler

Abe Foxman Smears Trump: Voter Pledge Was Hitler-Style ‘Fascist Gesture’

voking the specter of the Holocaust, Abe Foxman described an informal group pledge at a Donald Trump rally as Hitlerian. The pledge, conducted in Trump’s signature comedic fashion typically on display his rallies, asks supporters to commit to voting him regardless of potential and unanticipated inconveniences. Former head of the left-wing Anti-Defamation League, Foxman’s statements on anti-Semitism still carry weight within the media landscape.

Speaking to supporters at a campaign event in Florida, Trump began the light-hearted vow.

“Who likes me in the room?” asked Trump, receiving enthusiastic applause from his supporters.

“I’ve never done this before. Can I have a pledge, a swearing? Raise your right hand. I do solemnly swear that I, no matter how I feel, no matter what the conditions, if there’s hurricanes or whatever – that’s good enough – will vote on or before the 12th for Donald J. Trump for President! Now I know. Thank you,” said Trump.

The happy crowd intermittently repeated the various segments of the brief pledge in good cheer.

Drawing on his escaping and survival of the Holocaust, Foxman cast the playful pledge as dark and ominous.

“As a Jew who survived the Holocaust, to see an audience of thousands of people raising their hands in what looks like the ‘Heil Hitler’ salute is about as offensive, obnoxious and disgusting as anything I thought I would ever witness in the United States of America,” said Foxman.

“We’ve seen this sort of thing at rallies of neo-Nazis. We’ve seen it at rallies of white supremacists. But to see it at a rally for a legitimate candidate for the presidency of the United States is outrageous.”

As if the raising of one’s right hand is a Nazi-exclusive, the Times of Israel dutifully carried water for Foxman’s narrative. In so doing, Foxman and the like-minded cheapen genuine anti-Semitism by dishonestly weaponizing it as a tool against political opponents.

Commentary Magazine’s John Podhoretz jumped in, as well.

Last week, the ADL misrepresented “praise” from Nation of Islam cult-leader, racial nationalist, and anti-Semite Louis Farrakhan to push the same narrative of Trump as guilty of (non-existent) association with haters of Jews.

Left-wing media is ramping up the narrative of Trump-as-Hitler-2.0 and his supporters as Nazi acolytes. This narrative will be fused with the racial and ethnic agitation at the core of Hillary Clinton’s presidential campaign in the general election, which builds on the growing fiction of blacks, Hispanics and other minority groups as forming the neo-proletariat in need of paternalistic protection from Democrats.

http://www.dailywire.com/news/3933/abe-foxman-smears-trump-voter-pledge-hitler-style-robert-kraychik

 

What We’re Watching as 4 States Vote and Both Parties Court Michigan

Is Trump Fading?

Mr. Trump had a rough week. He faced attacks from the party establishment and criticism for his debate performance on Thursday before barely outpacing Senator Ted Cruz of Texas on Saturday in Kentucky and Louisiana, and losing to him in Kansas and Maine, where Mr. Trump was considered a favorite.

But it is not clear whether he struggled to win because he had lost ground or because anti-Trump voters had consolidated around Mr. Cruz. Mr. Trump’s share of the vote on Saturday was roughly in line with what he had won on Super Tuesday; Mr. Cruz finished with a far higher share of the vote than his Super Tuesday total.

The outcome on Tuesday could be telling. If Mr. Trump were to replicate his Super Tuesday performance, he would take about 35 percent of the vote in Michigan and 42 percent in Mississippi. If he were to lose significant ground from last week’s vote, it could present an opening for one of his rivals.

Will Rubio Continue His Slide?

It seems clear that Mr. Cruz benefited on Saturday from the somewhat sudden slide of Senator Marco Rubio of Florida. Mr. Rubio managed only 17 percent in the Kansas caucuses on Saturday — and that was his high-water mark across four states for the day. He bounced back with a decisive victory in Puerto Rico on Sunday, but that might not stop him from dropping in the states with the two largest delegate hauls on Tuesday: Michigan and Mississippi.

Gov. John R. Kasich of Ohio has devoted substantial time to Michigan, and, according to local Republican officials backing Mr. Rubio, he has cut into the core of Mr. Rubio’s support: upscale, suburban Republicans. Mr. Rubio also faces the prospect of losing similar voters in Mississippi to Mr. Kasich, while anti-Trump conservatives drift to Mr. Cruz there.

The good news for Mr. Rubio is that he could fare much better in the two other states that vote on Tuesday: Idaho and Hawaii. But as any West Coast Heisman Trophy contender knows, late-night success can often be missed by a press corps faced with Eastern time zone deadlines.

Who Will Win the Race Within the Race?

Though Mr. Cruz benefited from Mr. Rubio’s weak performance in Kentucky and Louisiana, it is not clear whether he can make the same gains in Michigan. It is a blue state with relatively few evangelical voters, and Mr. Cruz has struggled so far in such states.

Instead, Mr. Kasich could be the candidate who benefits from Mr. Rubio’s struggles. He is a relatively moderate governor from a neighboring state, and polls show he has moved into a tight race with Mr. Cruz for second place.

 

The race for second is a test for both Mr. Cruz and Mr. Kasich as each looks to present himself as the strongest Trump alternative. The second half of the primary season includes many Democratic-leaning states, like California, New Jersey and New York. A strong second-place showing in Michigan would ameliorate concerns about Mr. Cruz’s ability to compete in blue states; if Mr. Kasich were to fare better, it would set him up for a strong showing in his home state next week.

Is Michigan Sanders’s Best Bet?

On paper, Michigan should be a good state for Mr. Sanders. It is a white, working-class state that has been ravaged by outsourcing and ought to be receptive to Mr. Sanders’s message on economic issues. It is also a fairly liberal state, with big college towns like Ann Arbor and East Lansing. The state is whiter than the nation as a whole, and black voters — who have turned out in droves for Mrs. Clinton in the South — make up roughly the same share of the electorate there as they do nationally.

The burden for Mr. Sanders in Michigan is even higher because he needs to make up for losses in the first part of the primary season with even stronger showings going forward. The polls suggest that Mrs. Clinton is on track for a decisive victory, so Mr. Sanders needs a surprise win to show he still has a path of his own.

Is Mississippi a Southern Bellwether?

Mr. Trump rolled through the Deep South on Super Tuesday, winning every state in the region, some of them in landslides. In Alabama, he routed his nearest competitor, Mr. Cruz, by more than 22 percentage points. But when the race came to Louisiana on Saturday, the outcome looked markedly different. Mr. Trump beat Mr. Cruz by about four percentage points, and he fared far worse among voters who cast ballots on Saturday than those who voted early.

The Mississippi primary will offer some insight into whether Mr. Trump is slipping with some of the party’s most conservative voters. Demographically, the state resembles its two neighbors, which had such different results. It is also filled with Christian conservative voters: 83 percent of those who cast ballots in the 2012 Republican presidential primary called themselves evangelicals. The good news for Mr. Trump is that, unlike Louisiana’s primary, Mississippi’s contest is not limited to Republicans, so he could benefit from the Democrats and independents who have been drawn to his candidacy. But if Mr. Trump is starting to slip with Christian conservatives — whether because of his innuendo about his manhood, Mr. Cruz’s growing strength, or both — it could be evident here.

Who Can Win the Bare Minimum?

Candidates must meet a minimum percentage of the vote in certain states to receive any delegates, which are allocated proportionally in the Republican race until March 15 (starting then, states can decide whether to hold winner-take-all or proportional contests). The more candidates who meet the threshold, the more delegates are scattered — and the less likely it is that any candidate can reach the 1,237 delegates needed to clinch the nomination before the convention.

Three of the four states where Republicans are voting on Tuesday have thresholds: To win delegates, a candidate must receive at least 20 percent of the vote in Idaho, and at least 15 percent in Michigan and Mississippi.

The two candidates most in danger of not reaching the minimum are Mr. Rubio and Mr. Kasich. Mr. Rubio learned how much that can hurt on Super Tuesday, when he failed to meet the threshold in three states and was denied all but a handful of delegates. If Mr. Rubio and Mr. Kasich are shut out entirely on Tuesday, it will push the Republican contest closer to a two-man race.

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/03/09/us/politics/primary-elections-preview.html?_r=0

Poll: Trump dominating Rubio in Florida, Kasich in Ohio

Donald Trump has a commanding lead over Marco Rubio and John Kasich in their home states.

A CNN/ORC poll out Wednesday has Trump holding the lead in Florida with almost double the share of voters than Rubio (40 percent to 24 percent). Cruz follows with 19 percent and Kasich has just 5 percent.

The poll of Ohio Republicans has Trump ahead of the Ohio governor 41 percent to 35 percent. Texas Sen. Ted Cruz has 15 percent and Rubio is a distant fourth with 7 percent.

Rubio’s campaign is working nonstop to try and win the state. The Florida senator has essentially camped out in Florida, doing back to back events throughout the state.

Trump appeared on CNN “New Day” Wednesday and was asked about the poll, particularly what it means if he’s able to take both states.

“At that point it’s pretty tough for anybody to do anything,” he said. “I would love to see the party come together and unify.”

There’s added pressure for both Kasich and Rubio to do well at home since a majority of voters in both states say they should get out if they aren’t able to do well: 71 percent for Kasich in Ohio and 66 percent for Rubio in Florida.

Both states are delegate-heavy, with 99 delegates up for grabs in Florida and 66 delegates in Ohio. Both states are the winner-takes-all strategy.

The poll is also good news for Hillary Clinton. The former secretary of state leads Bernie Sanders 63 percent to 33 percent in Ohio and 61 percent to 34 percent in Florida.

The Florida poll of 264 likely Democratic primary voters has a margin of error of plus or minus 6 points. The poll of 313 likely Republican primary voters in the state has a margin of error of plus or minus 5.5 percentage points. In Ohio the poll included 294 likely Democratic primary voters with a margin of error of 5.5 percentage points, 359 likely Republican voters with a margin of error of 5 percentage points. The poll was conducted March 2-6.

http://www.politico.com/blogs/2016-gop-primary-live-updates-and-results/2016/03/donald-trump-kasich-rubio-poll-220481#ixzz42RcBLNiw
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